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Current Win Probability
Gnistan 47%
Draw 24.7%
TPS 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
23.7%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
23.4%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gnistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Gnistan - TPS Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). TPS will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (G) 67. Obileye A. (C) 19. Milovanov B. 24. Gnanou R. 3. Ruxi 31. Jouhi A. 15. Europaeus G. 26. Eremenko R. 12. Arko-Mensah E. 23. Ylatupa S. 17. Akinyemi A.
1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 15. Azongnitode C. 14. Hradecky M. 25. Tamba A. 6. Juvanteny P. 22. Zaal T. 10. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 11. Vauhkonen E. 44. Veinbergs N.
Substitutes
7. Atarah A. 2. Dahlstrom B. 14. Eremenko S. 27. Hannula O. 10. Latonen J. 13. Lyberopoulos O. (G) 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 25. Rossi N.
41. Anini S. 26. Ikonen L. 9. Ivanovic L. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 17. Sihvonen A. 24. Talo N. 28. Vakiparta T.
Coaches
Leppalahti J.
Pinol I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Milovanov B. 🟨,
59', Tamba A. 🟨,
65', Juvanteny P. 🟨,
66', Ylatupa S. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
71', Eremenko R. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
76', Haggstrom O. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
76', Tamba A. ↓, Talo N. ↑,
82', Akinyemi A. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
82', Juvanteny P. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,
82', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Muzaci A. ⚽, Veinbergs N. (A),
90', 1 - 1, Latonen J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
Gnistan is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
Gnistan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
TPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gnistan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gnistan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Knee Injury)
Launiala K.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Inactive)
There will not play in TPS: Karkulowski T.
(Inactive)
Turkki E.
(Inactive)
Visser K.
(Red Card)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
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Virtanen O. (G) 
Obileye A. (C) 
Milovanov B. 
Gnanou R. 
Ruxi 
Arko-Mensah E. 
Akinyemi A. 
Azongnitode C. 
Tamba A. 
Zaal T. 
Muzaci A. (C) 
Veinbergs N. 
Perez D. 
Ivanovic L. 
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