The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mikkelin Palloilijat 49.1%
Draw 25%
JäPS 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.1%
25.8%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
25.2%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Mikkelin Palloilijat - JäPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Uronen J. (G) 6. Afshari T. 9. Al Sheikh M. 7. Chishima A. 44. Forsell N. (C) 19. Janhunen V. 8. Koivuniemi M. 4. Laiho V. 15. Stenius S. 97. Traore A. 10. Ylonen E.
36. Valtonen T. (G) 10. Ahola V. 3. Haikonen P. 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 4. Nikki J. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R. (C)
Substitutes
30. Heikkinen T. (G) 99. Kerminen P. 18. Krivetz N. 26. Kuek A. 16. Obioha S. 17. Seppanen S. 14. Snellman M. 28. Tervaniemi A. 1. Wilson S. (G)
30. Aalto J. 27. Soderlund I. 18. Virtanen J. 1. Voutilainen N. (G)
Coaches
Ozeias Graciano
Kankkunen T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Al Sheikh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Ristola A. ⚽,
58', Al Sheikh M. ↓, Tervaniemi A. ↑,
58', Uronen J. ↓, Wilson S. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Koivuniemi M. ⚽, Ylonen E. (A),
62', Laiho V. ↓, Krivetz N. ↑,
70', Ahola V. ↓, Soderlund I. ↑,
75', Kuosa H. ↓, Virtanen J. ↑,
75', Koivuniemi M. ↓, Snellman M. ↑,
75', Stenius S. ↓, Kerminen P. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Sainio A. ⚽,
79', Ristola A. ↓, Aalto J. ↑,
84', Krivetz N. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1.
Mikkelin Palloilijat has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
JäPS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mikkelin Palloilijat holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mikkelin Palloilijat has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:29 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mikkelin Palloilijat against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
JäPS - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.04%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.