The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
PSM Makassar 24.4%
Draw 27.2%
Persebaya Surabaya 48.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.9%
28.2%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
28.1%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ardiansyah (G) 71. Hidayat M. 43. Lalic N. 2. Aloisio Neto 22. Victor Luiz (C) 29. Aditia F. 16. Aguero S. 8. Jevtoski S. 24. Pratama R. 11. Bulatovic L. 7. Veldwijk L.
30. Arya R. (G) 22. Lasinari S. 5. Mitrevski R. 4. Fernandes Y. 17. Jefferson 53. Irianto R. (C) 40. Gledson 20. Ramalho 11. Pereira M. 14. Mabella Y. 16. Pratama R.
Substitutes
77. Aditya R. 48. Arfan M. 17. Bakri R. 9. Cumic L. 6. Fandi R. 10. Foor N. 27. Herdiana H. 47. Mannan A. 18. Pagamo G. 88. Raehan A. 81. Rahaman A. 51. Syamsuddin S. (G)
39. Alex 21. Ari E. (G) 33. Ari K. 2. Catur A. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 68. Firmansyah T. 72. Maulana A. 31. Meilana Y. 55. Putra S. 42. Ramdani S. 7. Rivera F.
Coaches
Kalezic D.
Tavares B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Irianto R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramalho ↓, Alex ↑,
46', Irianto R. ↓, Firmansyah T. ↑,
56', Aguero S. ↓, Fandi R. ↑,
64', Mabella Y. ↓, Rivera F. ↑,
65', Pratama R. ↓, Ramdani S. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Fernandes Y. (Own goal),
77', Lasinari S. ↓, Catur A. ↑,
78', Aditia F. ↓, Bakri R. ↑,
87', Jevtoski S. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
87', Lalic N. ↓, Mannan A. ↑,
90+1', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
90+3', Mannan A. 🟥,
90+7', Ardiansyah 🟨,
90+9', Alex (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 0.
Makassar has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Persebaya is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Persebaya holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Makassar has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:23 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Makassar against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Indonesia
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Ardiansyah (G) 
Lalic N. 
Aloisio Neto 
Aguero S. 
Jevtoski S. 
Veldwijk L. 
Fernandes Y. 
Ramalho 
Mabella Y. 
Foor N. 
Rivera F. 
Kalezic D. 
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