Match Info

Super League - Round 4

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)


	PSM Makassar		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	1.78	3.35	4.05	Watch
	1.9	3.64	4.22
	1.67	3.85	4.78	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.74	3.34	4.39
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.23)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	4.06 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
50.5%

Draw
26.8%

Persebaya Surabaya
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSM Makassar's performance.

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persebaya Surabaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Makassar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Makassar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Hilmansyah (G) 71. Hidayat M. 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 2. Aloisio Neto 22. Victor Luiz 40. Gledson 48. Arfan M. 8. Savio Roberto 98. Medina Themopole J. 9. Alex 7. Dethan V.	21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 24. Lelis L. S. 53. Irianto R. 91. Tumbas D. 55. Putra S. 88. Raickovic M. 7. Rivera F. 10. Bruno (C) 22. Freitas Gali 11. Perovic M.
Substitutes
29. Aditia F. 30. Arya R. (G) 27. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 6. Fandi R. 77. Kamara A. 13. Lasinari S. 11. Lucas Dias 24. Pratama R. 15. Pratama R. 81. Rahaman A. 32. Septiawan R. D. 45. Tanjung A.	33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 99. Diego Mauricio 4. Dimov D. 8. Fernando O. 77. Malik R. 18. May R. 27. Oscario R. (G) 23. Raditya K. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
Coaches
Trucha T.	Perez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Savio Roberto ⚽, Victor Luiz (A),
12', 1 - 1, Bruno ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
28', Savio Roberto 🟨,
45+1', Aloisio Neto 🟨,
45+1', Perovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Irianto R. ↓, Raditya K. ↑,
59', Arfan M. ↓, Tanjung A. ↑,
69', Tumbas D. ↓, May R. ↑,
78', Dethan V. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
78', Savio Roberto ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
78', Medina Themopole J. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
79', Perovic M. ↓, Malik R. ↑,
87', Raickovic M. 🟨,
90', Tanjung A. 🟨,
90+4', Freitas Gali ↓, Diego Mauricio ↑,
90+6', Tanjung A. 🟨,
90+10', Alex ↓, Fandi R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 1.

Makassar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Makassar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

PSM Makassar - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.41%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
29.11.25	Persis Solo - PSM Makassar	3:4 ✺
21.11.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	5:0 ✺
09.11.25	Dewa United - PSM Makassar	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	PSM Makassar - Madura United	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Persik Kediri - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWTT
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
28.11.25	Bhayangkara - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Persik Kediri - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
07.03.25	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1
23.10.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:1
28.02.24	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0
18.08.23	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:0
24.02.23	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	0:1
10.09.22	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	3:0
14.01.22	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	2:1

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