Match Info

Championship - Round 14

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tri Sanja Stadium (Tegal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persekat Tegal		Sumsel United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.02	3.31	2.2	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.19	3.14	2.13
	2.71	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.8)	3.14 ↓ (3.39)	2.23 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persekat Tegal
30.6%

Draw
28.8%

Sumsel United
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persekat Tegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persekat Tegal's performance.

Sumsel United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumsel United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persekat Tegal than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persekat Tegal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumsel United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumsel United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Persekat Tegal - Sumsel United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Firmansyah F. D. (G) 10. Chocolate 96. Iuri (C) 26. Mandosir E. 15. Maulana S. 5. Owen A. 18. Pratama N. F. 6. Rama A. R. 20. Saputro R. 19. Syahertian K. 23. Zuhro M.	64. Triatmojo P. (G) 66. Bajo I. 10. Dall'Oca 19. Fariansyah A. 27. Fariel N. 5. Fernando Barbosa 99. Hidayat R. (C) 16. Ibrahim H. 9. Juninho 89. Lee Yu-jun 15. Wahyu D.
Substitutes
2. Amin K. 37. Aulia W. 34. Damara F. 14. Fitra Y. 24. Husain H. 9. Kaio Lucas 12. Lesmana I. 27. Maulana I. 4. Mukhlis M. 97. Prasetiyo B. (G) 32. Ramadani F. 29. Susilo J.	18. Afrizal S. 22. Darmawan T. 4. Fatchu Rochman M. 8. Gagarin J. 23. Gatra B. 96. Hutagalung A. 3. Kapisa O. 13. Karman K. 24. Kurniawan I. 78. Maulana R. (G) 25. Muzakkar K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bajo I. ↓, Fatchu Rochman M. ↑,
46', Fariel N. ↓, Afrizal S. ↑,
55', Wahyu D. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Mandosir E. ⚽,
70', Fernando Barbosa 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
87', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Championship (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 3).

Persekat has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sumsel United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sumsel United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Persekat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persekat Tegal
Indonesian Championship
27.12.25	Isenmulang Kalteng - Persekat Tegal	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Adhyaksa Bekasi - Persekat Tegal	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Persekat Tegal - Garudayaksa	0:0 ✺
13.11.25	Persekat Tegal - PSMS Medan	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Persikad Depok - Persekat Tegal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLTTL
- Sumsel United
Indonesian Championship
29.12.25	Sumsel United - Adhyaksa Bekasi	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Sumsel United - PSMS Medan	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Sumsel United	3:1 ✺
13.11.25	Sumsel United - Persikad Depok	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Garudayaksa - Sumsel United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
12.10.25	Sumsel United - Persekat Tegal	2:0

Persekat Tegal - Sumsel United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide