Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	PSV Eindhoven		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7
	1.46	4.33	6.5
	1.47	4.4	7
	1.49	4.3	6.4
	1.48	4.42	7.34
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.5	4.55	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)	4.27 ↑ (3.83)	6.61 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
63.4%

Draw
22.3%

Copenhagen
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

14.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-29.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Copenhagen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

PSV Eindhoven - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (72 of 90 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.74% – 88.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

PSV was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (69%), has a chance of semis (42%), has a chance of final (25%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Copenhagen was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 66, big importance 85, big match rating 76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

PSV in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Copenhagen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PSV is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match PSV is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
06.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.03.22	Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.22	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.22	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
04.03.22	Copenhagen - Randers FC	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Viborg - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Copenhagen - OB Odense	2:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
11.02.22	Breiðablik - Copenhagen	3:4 ✺
10.02.22	Copenhagen - Zenit	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

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