Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	12:45	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	12:45	Disney+
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Cyprus	19:45	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Germany	18:45	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	19:45	Nova Sports 2
India	22:15	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	23:45	Vidio
Italy	18:45	Como TV
Kenya	19:45	Gotv
Mexico	10:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	18:45	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	17:45	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	18:45	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	18:45	Sport TV3
South Africa	18:45	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	18:45	GolStadium
Switzerland	18:45	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	19:45	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	19:45	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+
International	16:45	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Sparta Rotterdam		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.2	1.9	Watch
	3.35	4.15	1.95
	3.47	4.35	1.93
	3.43	4.32	1.89	Watch
	3.25	4	1.85
	3.49	4.31	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.53)	4.22 ↑ (4.05)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
27.9%

Draw
22.5%

PSV Eindhoven
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

23.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

23.3%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Quintero T. 5. Kleijn M. 7. Santos A. 6. Baas J. 8. Kitolano J. (C) 11. Mito S. 10. van Crooij V. 9. Lauritsen T.	32. Kovar M. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 17. Mauro Junior (C) 20. Til G. 31. Fernandez N. 34. Saibari I. 10. Wanner P. 9. Pepi R. 5. Perisic I.
Substitutes
12. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 18. Clement P. 13. de Guzman J. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 14. Martins Indi B. 21. Roaldsoy A. 22. Terho C. 17. Toornstra J. 16. van Aanholt P. 15. Vianello G. 19. Zonneveld M.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 21. Boadu M. 11. Driouech C. 27. Man D. 38. Merien F. 1. Olij N. (G) 24. Schiks N. (G) 35. van den Berg J.
Coaches
Steijn M.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Flamingo R. 🟨,
21', Quintero T. 🟨,
40', Til G. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽, Til G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Mito S. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
60', Fernandez N. 🟨,
64', Kleijn M. ↓, Vianello G. ↑,
65', Wanner P. 🟨,
70', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
70', Fernandez N. ↓, van den Berg J. ↑,
73', van den Berg J. 🟨,
77', Sildillia K. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Saibari I. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
81', Santos A. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
81', Sambo S. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
81', Baas J. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
81', Saibari I. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
82', Pepi R. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
87', Flamingo R. ↓, Merien F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, PSV is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Martes L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Hamstring Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Schouten J. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:41. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	PSV	10	6	2	2	28:13	15	20
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

PSV: 19.44% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
05.04.26	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLTL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Telstar - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	6:1
18.05.25	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	1:3
05.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1
05.05.24	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	4:2
08.10.23	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	0:4
06.05.23	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
10.01.23	Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven	1:2

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