Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pacajus		4 de Julho

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	7.5
	1.31	4.75	8
	1.29	4.8	7
	1.29	4.61	7.66
	1.22	4.33	12
	1.25	4.95	11.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (2.19)	4.67 ↑ (2.7)	8.99 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pacajus
70.7%

Draw
19.3%

4 de Julho
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

33.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

33.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacajus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pacajus's performance.

4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 4 de Julho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pacajus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 4 de Julho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Pacajus - 4 de Julho Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pacajus will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). 4 de Julho will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pacajus: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pacajus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pacajus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pacajus is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.22	Castanhal - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Pacajus - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
26.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
17.06.22	Pacajus - SE Juventude	0:1 ✺
11.06.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTLL
- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.22	4 de Julho - Moto Club de São Luís	2:1 ✺
02.07.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - 4 de Julho	2:1 ✺
25.06.22	Castanhal - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	4 de Julho - Fluminense Piaui	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.04.22	4 de Julho - Pacajus	1:1

Pacajus - 4 de Julho