Match Info

WORLD: FIFA Intercontinental Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium 974 (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, SporTV
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
France	beIN Sports MAX 6
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports, Mitele Plus
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
World	FIFA+


	Pachuca		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.5	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.44	2.86
	2.41	3.16	2.81	Watch
	2.49	3.28	2.9
	2.5	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.1)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.82 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
38%

Draw
28.8%

Al Ahly Cairo
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ahly Cairo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Pachuca - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 22. Cabral G. 33. Micolta A. 8. Gonzalez B. 28. Montiel E. 5. Pedraza P. 14. Gonzalez A. 26. Bautista A. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S. (C)	1. El Shenawy M. (C) 3. Kamal O. 6. Yasser Ibrahim 5. Rabia R. 18. Attiyat Allah Y. 8. Tawfik A. 13. Ateya M. 29. Mohamed T. 22. Ashour E. 14. El Shahat H. 9. Abou Ali W.
Substitutes
3. Aceves A. 29. Aguayo S. 2. Barreto S. D. 9. Baston B. 35. Berlanga J. 6. Deossa N. 18. Dominguez A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 7. Gil Mosquera F. A. 27. Gonzalez O. 30. Hernandez S. A. 10. Mena A. 40. Saldivar J. 32. Sanchez C. 12. Shrem D. (G)	2. Abdelfattah K. 19. Afsha 36. Ahmed Kouka 4. Aymen Y. 15. Dari A. 33. El Debes K. 23. El Saaiy O. 17. El Solia A. 16. Hamza Alaa (G) 7. Kahraba 20. Karim Nedved 37. Makhlouf M. (G) 32. Mohamed S. 12. Slim R. 10. Tau P.
Coaches
Almada G.	Koller M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
40', Bautista A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Deossa N. ↑,
56', Bautista A. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
71', El Shahat H. ↓, Afsha ↑,
77', Ashour E. 🟨,
78', Abou Ali W. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
90+2', Mohamed T. ↓, Tau P. ↑,
90+2', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, Abdelfattah K. ↑,
90+7', Mena A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
100', Tawfik A. ↓, El Solia A. ↑,
102', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
109', Pedraza P. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
120+1', Mena A. ↓, Baston B. ↑,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Rondon S. (Pen),
1, Afsha (Pen),
2, Baston B. (Pen),
2, Rabia R. (Pen),
3, Cabral G. (Pen),
3, Ateya M. (Pen),
4, Idrissi O. (Pen),
4, Kahraba (Pen),
5, Deossa N. (Pen),
5, Kamal O. (Pen),
6, Montiel E. (Pen),
6, El Solia A. (Pen),
7, Rodriguez L. (Pen),
7, Tau P. (Pen),
8, Gil Mosquera F. A. (Pen),
8, Abdelfattah K. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Pachuca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Ahly is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pachuca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
11.12.24	Botafogo RJ - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
09.11.24	Pachuca - Juárez	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Club América - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Pachuca - Necaxa	6:2 ✺
26.10.24	Tigres UANL - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL
- Al Ahly Cairo
CAF Champions League
07.12.24	Orlando Pirates - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
01.12.24	National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.11.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Stade dAbidjan	4:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.11.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:1 ✺
07.11.24	ZED - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWTW

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