The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pachuca 55.4%
Draw 23.9%
Necaxa 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
23.1%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
22.7%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Pachuca - Necaxa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 12th and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 5.
In recent outings, Pachuca has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Necaxa is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Necaxa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Pachuca for this game.
Confirmed absences for Pachuca: Arroyo A.
(Foot Injury)
Dominguez A.
(Foot Injury)
Kenedy
(Injury)
Sanchez C.
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for Pachuca: Berlanga J.
(Injury)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pachuca has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pachuca against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:9 goals (averaging 2:0.9 per game).
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