Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Paderborn II		Rödinghausen

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.7	2.98
	2.11	3.85	2.84
	2.17	3.54	2.92
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.06	3.48	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.78)	3.59 ↓ (3.71)	2.94 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn II
43.6%

Draw
25.4%

Rödinghausen
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

23.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paderborn II's form might have worsened.

Rödinghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rödinghausen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rödinghausen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paderborn II - Rödinghausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Ermolaev G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Kiewitt L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Rödinghausen is Relegated to

Paderborn II has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rödinghausen's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rödinghausen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paderborn II is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Paderborn II	11	3	4	4	19:22	-3	13
16	Rodinghausen	11	2	3	6	15:20	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
08.05.26	Velbert - Paderborn II	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Bonner - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gütersloh - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLT
- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
09.05.26	Rödinghausen - Wiedenbrück	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Köln II - Rödinghausen	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rödinghausen - Schalke 04 II	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Rödinghausen	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bocholt - Rödinghausen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
28.11.25	Rödinghausen - Paderborn II	2:1
10.05.25	Rödinghausen - Paderborn II	4:2
24.11.24	Paderborn II - Rödinghausen	2:0
31.03.24	Paderborn II - Rödinghausen	0:0
07.10.23	Rödinghausen - Paderborn II	2:0

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