The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Padova 35.8%
Draw 33.3%
Virtus Entella 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
30.5%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
29.8%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Padova - Virtus Entella Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Virtus Entella (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 3 - 50%). Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Fortin M. (G) 17. Capelli A. 72. Faedo C. 5. Perrotta M. 32. Sgarbi F. 3. Barreca A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 15. Lasagna K. 20. Bortolussi M.
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 7. Bariti D. 4. Nichetti M. 8. Karic N. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 20. Fumagalli T. 19. Debenedetti A.
Substitutes
4. Belli F. 92. Buonaiuto C. 23. Di Maggio L. 30. Favale G. 18. Ghiglione P. 44. Harder J. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 41. Silva J. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F. 55. Villa L.
45. Ankeye D. 50. Benali A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 11. Guiu B. 5. Lipani J. 94. Mezzoni F. 42. Moretti L. 2. Palomba L. 90. Portanova D. 80. Rinaldini R. (G)
Coaches
Andreoletti M.
Chiappella A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Franzoni A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Karic N. ⚽, Di Mario S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
51', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
51', Bariti D. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
54', Karic N. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
55', Fumagalli T. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
55', Bariti D. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
62', Crisetig L. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
70', Fusi P. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Harder J. ⚽, Capelli A. (A),
75', Debenedetti A. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
81', Capelli A. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
81', Barreca A. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
84', Marconi I. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
89', Di Mario S. 🟨,
Preview
Padova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Inactive)
Belli F.
(Injury)
Boi A.
(Inactive)
Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
Seghetti A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Virtus Entella: Lipani J.
(Foot Injury)
Siaulys O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Dalla Vecchia M.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
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Fortin M. (G) 
Varas K. 
Karic N. 
Mouquet L. (G) 
Silva J. 
Ankeye D. 
Benali A. 
Guiu B. 
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