Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Padura		Santurtzi

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	3.05	3.1	2.21
	3.24	3.14	2.17
	3.12	3.22	2.19	Watch
	3.19	3.13	2.16
	3.05	3.1	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.83)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padura
29.6%

Draw
28.9%

Santurtzi
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

27.6%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Padura - Santurtzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Marroquin A. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Padura could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Padura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
29.03.25	Touring KE - Padura	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Padura - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Deusto - Padura	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Padura - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Padura - Basconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLLL
- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Santurtzi - Beasain	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Basconia - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Santurtzi - Leioa	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.12.24	Santurtzi - Padura	0:1

Padura - Santurtzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide