Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Santurtzi |
|
Leioa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.32 |
2.98 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.84 |
2.95 |
2.67 |
|
 |
2.36 |
3.07 |
2.96 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
2.8 |
2.63 |
|
 |
3.03 |
3.03 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.66 |
3 |
2.54 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.54) |
2.97 ↓
(3.12) |
2.7 ↑
(2.51) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santurtzi
34.9% | Draw
31% | Leioa
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Santurtzi - Leioa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Agirregomezkorta E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 0 - 2, De Eguino I. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).Now, both teams are in good form.Santurtzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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