Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Padura		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.9
	3.8	2.95	1.83
	3.85	3.05	1.85
	3.7	2.94	2.02
	3.62	3.13	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.36)	3.01 ↓ (3.24)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padura
23.8%

Draw
29.6%

Vitoria
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Padura - Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs)).

Padura is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitoria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.12.22	Basconia - Padura	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Padura - Lagun Onak	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Urduliz - Padura	3:3 ✺
27.11.22	Padura - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
19.11.22	Deusto - Padura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLT
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.12.22	Vitoria - Anaitasuna	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Leioa - Vitoria	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Vitoria - Portugalete	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Pasaia - Vitoria	0:5 ✺
20.11.22	Vitoria - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWT

Padura - Vitoria

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Padura - Vitoria Predictions

Preview

Form

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