Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Paganese		Latina

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.29	2.85	3
	2.43	2.85	3.18
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.35	3.14	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.2)	2.92 ↓ (2.97)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
39.5%

Draw
31%

Latina
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

21.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Latina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paganese - Latina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 12).

Paganese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Latina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Paganese - Bari	1:2 ✺
23.01.22	Taranto - Paganese	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	ACR Messina - Paganese	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Paganese - Turris	1:1 ✺
11.12.21	Picerno - Paganese	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTL
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Latina - Taranto	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Foggia - Latina	1:3 ✺
22.12.21	Latina - Palermo	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Latina - Nuova Monterosi	3:3 ✺
12.12.21	Monopoli - Latina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.21	Latina - Paganese	2:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
05.05.13	Latina - Paganese	3:0
28.03.13	Paganese - Latina	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Latina - Pianese	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Campobasso - Latina	✺

Paganese - Latina