Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	ACR Messina		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.55	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.7
	2.5	2.9	2.65
	2.68	2.74	2.83
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.53	3.2	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.41)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.69 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
35.2%

Draw
31.1%

Paganese
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

22.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ACR Messina - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.21	ACR Messina - Catania	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Turris - ACR Messina	5:0 ✺
05.12.21	Taranto - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	ACR Messina - Fidelis Andria	2:3 ✺
20.11.21	Latina - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTLL
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.21	Paganese - Turris	1:1 ✺
11.12.21	Picerno - Paganese	5:3 ✺
05.12.21	Paganese - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
27.11.21	Monopoli - Paganese	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Palermo - Paganese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.21	Paganese - ACR Messina	4:4
18.02.17	Paganese - ACR Messina	2:0
02.10.16	ACR Messina - Paganese	0:2
14.02.16	ACR Messina - Paganese	2:2
03.10.15	Paganese - ACR Messina	1:1
07.02.15	ACR Messina - Paganese	1:1
24.09.14	Paganese - ACR Messina	1:0

ACR Messina - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide