Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Paganese		Turris

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3	3.1	2.18
	3.11	2.84	2.4
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.08	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.63)	2.98 ↓ (3.34)	2.3 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
30.1%

Draw
30.4%

Turris
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

20.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paganese's form might have worsened.

Turris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turris than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paganese - Turris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Paganese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Turris is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paganese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paganese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.21	Picerno - Paganese	5:3 ✺
05.12.21	Paganese - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
27.11.21	Monopoli - Paganese	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Palermo - Paganese	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Paganese - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie C Group C
12.12.21	Turris - ACR Messina	5:0 ✺
05.12.21	Potenza - Turris	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Turris - Avellino	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Virtus Francavilla - Turris	1:2 ✺
15.11.21	Turris - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.02.21	Paganese - Turris	2:0
25.10.20	Turris - Paganese	0:3

Paganese - Turris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide