Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Picerno		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	2.19	2.9	3.2
	2.24	2.72	3.59
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.17	3.08	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	3.47 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
42.7%

Draw
31.1%

Paganese
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Picerno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paganese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Picerno - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 14).

Recent matches Picerno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Picerno will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Picerno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.21	Fidelis Andria - Picerno	2:3 ✺
28.11.21	Picerno - Palermo	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Avellino - Picerno	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Potenza - Picerno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTLL
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.21	Paganese - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
27.11.21	Monopoli - Paganese	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Palermo - Paganese	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Paganese - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Foggia - Paganese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.10.19	Picerno - Paganese	2:0

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