Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Paganese		Nuova Monterosi

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.87	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.17	2.95	3.15
	2.33	2.85	3.35
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.26	3.14	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.27)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.16 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
40.9%

Draw
30.3%

Nuova Monterosi
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

20.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Monterosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paganese - Nuova Monterosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 14).

Paganese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Monterosi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.22	Catanzaro - Paganese	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Paganese - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Vibonese - Paganese	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Paganese - Latina	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Paganese - Bari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL
- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.22	Nuova Monterosi - ACR Messina	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Nuova Monterosi - Taranto	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Nuova Monterosi - Bari	0:1 ✺
30.01.22	Palermo - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Paganese	1:0

Paganese - Nuova Monterosi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide