Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Avellino		Nuova Monterosi

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	9.75
	1.25	5	13	Watch
	1.24	4.96	11.76
	1.25	4.96	11.76
	1.2	5	13
	1.22	5.05	12
	1.24	4.9	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.61)	4.98 ↑ (3.5)	11.75 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
73.9%

Draw
18.3%

Nuova Monterosi
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Monterosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Monterosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avellino - Nuova Monterosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ghidotti S. (G) 14. Cancellotti T. 5. Benedetti S. 13. Mule E. 4. Sannipoli D. 8. Lores I. 6. Palmiero L. 21. Armellino M. 2. Ricciardi M. 11. Sgarbi L. 31. Marconi M.	1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 15. Giordani P. 25. Altobelli D. 23. Sini S. 20. Bittante L. 17. Fantacci T. 7. Di Paolantonio A. 18. Parlati S. 3. Di Renzo A. 9. Costantino R. 91. Vano M.
Substitutes
99. Casarini F. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 35. Gori G. 17. Maisto F. 1. Pane P. (G) 33. Pezzella S. 12. Pizzella A. (G) 16. Rigione M. 3. Tito F. 55. Tozaj E.	13. Cinaglia D. 28. Conti B. 8. Di Francesco D. 11. Ekuban J. 77. Ferreri G. 10. Frediani M. 29. Palazzino F. 21. Perrotta F. 12. Rigon A. (G) 99. Silipo A. 30. Tolomello F. 4. Verde F.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 2.

Avellino is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monterosi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monterosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monterosi have a series of home games.

In this match Avellino is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
16.10.23	Casertana - Avellino	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Avellino - Potenza	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Avellino - Monopoli	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	ACR Messina - Avellino	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Avellino - Monopoli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
14.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Perugia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.23	Potenza - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
25.09.23	Nuova Monterosi - Taranto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.04.23	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	0:2
18.12.22	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	0:0
12.02.22	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:0
03.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
24.02.19	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:1
04.11.18	Nuova Monterosi - Avellino	0:0

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