The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Catanzaro 59.8%
Draw 24.4%
Paganese 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
25.7%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
20.7%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3%)
Catanzaro - Paganese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 0.
Catanzaro in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Paganese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.
Recent matches Paganese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 18 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.