Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Catanzaro		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6	Watch
	1.54	3.9	4.8
	1.5	3.55	5.8
	1.55	3.75	4.64
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.53	3.82	6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	3.7 ↑ (3.57)	5.71 ↓ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
59.8%

Draw
24.4%

Paganese
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

20.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3%)

Catanzaro - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 0.

Catanzaro in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paganese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.

Recent matches Paganese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 18 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
12.02.22	Fidelis Andria - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Catanzaro - Picerno	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Catania - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
24.01.22	Catanzaro - Palermo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.02.22	Paganese - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Vibonese - Paganese	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Paganese - Latina	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Paganese - Bari	1:2 ✺
23.01.22	Taranto - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
10.10.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	0:2
03.02.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	1:0
07.10.20	Catanzaro - Paganese	1:0
07.12.19	Paganese - Catanzaro	1:1
10.02.19	Catanzaro - Paganese	4:1
13.10.18	Paganese - Catanzaro	0:4
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.08.18	Paganese - Catanzaro	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Catanzaro - Padova	✺

Catanzaro - Paganese