Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Paganese		Viterbese

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.45	2.8	2.9
	2.65	2.7	2.8
	2.6	2.65	2.8
	2.83	2.8	2.99
	2.62	2.8	2.9
	2.69	2.8	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.39)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
35.1%

Draw
32.9%

Viterbese
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Viterbese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viterbese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paganese - Viterbese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 11).

Recent matches Paganese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viterbese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Viterbese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paganese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.02.21	Teramo - Paganese	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Paganese - Catania	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Paganese - Turris	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Paganese - Vibonese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWTW
- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.02.21	Viterbese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Viterbese - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Bisceglie - Viterbese	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Viterbese - Cavese	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Bari - Viterbese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.11.20	Viterbese - Paganese	0:1
22.01.20	Paganese - Viterbese	0:0
25.08.19	Viterbese - Paganese	2:1
05.05.19	Paganese - Viterbese	1:0
26.12.18	Viterbese - Paganese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.02.18	Viterbese - Paganese	2:1 penalties

Paganese - Viterbese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide