Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 31

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Paide linnastaadion (Paide)


	Paide U21		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
	5.25	5	1.37
	5.5	5	1.38	Watch
	5.67	5.14	1.36
	5.49	5.25	1.4
	5	4.8	1.4
	6.04	5.05	1.36
	5.5	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (4.22)	5.03 ↑ (4.54)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide U21
16.5%

Draw
18%

Levadia Tallinn U21
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

19.8%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

19.3%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia Tallinn U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Sapp M. (G) 25. Gueye M. 5. Juhkam G. 37. Kanne K. 72. Kuuse J. 26. Luts R. 9. Piht K. 46. Reivik K. 7. Riiberg H. (C) 22. Soo S. 24. Suso M.	1. Ani O. (G) 38. Bah M. 33. Gussev M. (C) 55. Jarvelaid H. 17. Kablik H. 54. Kondratski N. 4. Kroon G. 7. Lepistu B. 51. Liiv H. 22. Sakarias A. 41. Skvortsov M.
Substitutes
54. Burujan A. 45. Hulko R. 70. Isakar R. (G) 71. Kalla K. 32. Kiik K. 62. Schuts S.	16. Aan R. 56. Dunits A. 42. Laskov M. 9. Mirosnitsenko B. 36. Pihkva J. 35. Pjatajev D. (G) 50. Rodionov F. 31. Sibul A. 48. Urlih R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Piht K. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Bah M. ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, Suso M. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Soo S. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 1, Gueye M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Sapp M. 🟨,
50', Jarvelaid H. 🟨,
66', Laskov M. 🟨,
72', Sakarias A. 🟨,
79', 5 - 1, Suso M. ⚽,
81', Lepistu B. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga
28.09.24	Viimsi JK - Paide U21	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tartu Welco - Paide U21	2:2 ✺
19.09.24	Paide U21 - Elva	3:4 ✺
15.09.24	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	0:6 ✺
31.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLL
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
28.09.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Harju JK Laagri	4:3 ✺
23.09.24	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
19.09.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	FC Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
31.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:1
13.07.24	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1
15.04.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	3:0
12.11.23	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:1
17.09.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:2
12.06.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:0
03.04.23	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2

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