The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tartu Welco 82.2%
Draw 11%
Paide U21 6.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.5%
16.1%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.4%
15.3%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Welco's performance.
Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Welco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tartu Welco - Paide U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Agarmaa M. (G) 4. Sossi M. 34. Saareleht T. 5. Reesar R. 79. Vana K. 70. Petmanson J. 21. Vool A. (C) 95. Saupold T. 20. Mugra M. 9. Mottus E. 11. Magi M.
56. Sapp M. (G) 74. Ivanov K. 46. Reivik K. 4. Kane R. 58. Poolma J. 22. Soo S. 25. Gueye M. 73. Trofimov R. 7. Riiberg H. (C) 24. Suso M. 9. Piht K.
Substitutes
88. Anderson K. 27. Ernits H. 1. Karjagin A. (G) 80. Mark K. 32. Salu R. 13. Sokolov I. 16. Songisepp A.
57. Ellermaa K. 45. Hulko R. 70. Isakar R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Gueye M. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Magi M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Riiberg H. ⚽,
44', Vool A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Gueye M. 🟨,
61', Suso M. ↓, Ellermaa K. ↑,
61', Gueye M. ↓, Hulko R. ↑,
70', Saupold T. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
79', Reivik K. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Mark K. (Pen),
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tartu Welco won 3.
Tartu Welco is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Paide U21 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Tartu Welco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Tartu Welco is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Tartu Welco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Tartu Welco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
Watch
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Agarmaa M. (G) 
Gueye M. 
Suso M. 
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