Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 26

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Maarjamäe staadion (Tallinn)


	Levadia Tallinn U21		Paide U21

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	8.75
	1.2	6.5	9
	1.19	6.81	7.98
	1.22	6.81	8.39
	1.19	6.75	9.45
	1.2	6.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.46)	6.65 ↑ (5)	8.76 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn U21
75.9%

Draw
13.7%

Paide U21
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

18.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

17.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn U21's performance.

Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadia Tallinn U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ani O. (G) 36. Pihkva J. 48. Urlih R. 7. Lepistu B. 51. Liiv H. 49. Jarvelaid H. 42. Laskov M. 22. Sakarias A. 33. Gussev M. (C) 41. Skvortsov M. 56. Dunits A.	56. Sapp M. (G) 45. Hulko R. 46. Reivik K. 4. Kane R. 71. Kalla K. 22. Soo S. 62. Gueye M. 26. Luts R. 7. Riiberg H. (C) 63. Kanne K. 32. Kiik K.
Substitutes
16. Aan R. 4. Kroon G. 69. Ladoskin I. (G) 8. Matrossov D. 9. Mirosnitsenko B. 68. Ouertani M. 50. Rodionov F. 31. Sibul A.	54. Burujan A. 57. Ellermaa K. 70. Isakar R. (G) 74. Ivanov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Riiberg H. ⚽,
34', Sakarias A. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Levadia U21 won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Levadia U21 is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Levadia U21 won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Levadia U21 won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
24.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:0 ✺
21.08.24	Flora U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:1 ✺
18.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:3 ✺
11.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tabasalu	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga
25.08.24	Paide U21 - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
20.08.24	Elva - Paide U21	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Paide U21 - Flora U21	2:4 ✺
11.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
05.08.24	Tabasalu - Paide U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
13.07.24	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1
15.04.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	3:0
12.11.23	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:1
17.09.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:2
12.06.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:0
03.04.23	Paide U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2
31.10.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	5:0

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