Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 27

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Paide linnastaadion (Paide)


	Paide U21		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	19	9.75	1.08
	21	8.5	1.07	Watch
	13.64	9.83	1.06
	14.67	9.41	1.09
	20	10.2	1.05
	21	8.5	1.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	18.22 ↑ (6.24)	9.37 ↑ (5)	1.07 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide U21
5%

Draw
9.7%

Harju JK Laagri
85.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

17.9%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paide U21's form might have worsened.

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harju JK Laagri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paide U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harju JK Laagri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Sapp M. (G) 74. Ivanov K. 32. Kiik K. 4. Kane R. 63. Kanne K. 22. Soo S. 25. Gueye M. 7. Riiberg H. (C) 72. Kuuse J. 9. Piht K. 71. Kalla K.	71. Rimmel M. (G) 23. Rudenko Daniil 44. Must S. 6. Kariste J. 4. Jarve A. (C) 87. Jose M. 17. Kelement M. 10. Sikk A. 7. Reimaa R. 16. Kriis K. 11. Kose A.
Substitutes
54. Burujan A. 45. Hulko R. 70. Isakar R. (G) 46. Reivik K. 73. Trofimov R.	18. Beilmann J. 13. Einmann K. 45. Kangur S. 22. Kesa M. 1. Vainula J. M. (G) 26. Vali K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', Kose A. 🟨,
19', Gueye M. 🟨,
29', Kariste J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Kariste J. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', Kriis K. ↓, Kangur S. ↑,
62', Jose M. ↓, Beilmann J. ↑,
63', Riiberg H. ↓, Reivik K. ↑,
64', Reivik K. 🟨,
65', 0 - 4, Kangur S. ⚽,
67', 0 - 5, Kose A. ⚽,
69', Kariste J. ↓, Einmann K. ↑,
72', Piht K. ↓, Burujan A. ↑,
77', Kose A. ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
77', Jarve A. ↓, Vali K. ↑,
88', 0 - 6, Sikk A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga
31.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Paide U21 - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
20.08.24	Elva - Paide U21	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Paide U21 - Flora U21	2:4 ✺
11.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Esiliiga
31.08.24	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:0 ✺
21.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:6 ✺
17.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
14.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
16.06.24	Harju JK Laagri - Paide U21	6:0
05.05.24	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:8
11.09.22	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:4
04.07.22	Harju JK Laagri - Paide U21	4:1
19.05.22	Harju JK Laagri - Paide U21	5:0
03.03.22	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	1:5

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