Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Paiosaco		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.6	2.87	1.99
	3.6	2.87	1.99
	3.74	3.08	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.32)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.01 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paiosaco
24.8%

Draw
30.8%

Gran Peña
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paiosaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paiosaco's form might have worsened.

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gran Peña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paiosaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gran Peña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paiosaco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gran Peña will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paiosaco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paiosaco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.11.23	Arosa - Paiosaco	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Paiosaco - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Paiosaco - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Betanzos - Paiosaco	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Paiosaco - Atlético Arteixo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTTWT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.11.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Gran Peña - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Atlético Arteixo - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Gran Peña - Somozas	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Alondras - Gran Peña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.02.23	Gran Peña - Paiosaco	5:1
30.10.22	Paiosaco - Gran Peña	0:0

Paiosaco - Gran Peña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide