Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Arosa		Paiosaco

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.2	9
	1.32	4.29	8.11
	1.33	4.29	8.12
	1.3	4.4	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.32)	4.3 ↑ (4.28)	8.68 ↓ (8.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
68.6%

Draw
21%

Paiosaco
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

21.1%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

17.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Paiosaco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Arosa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paiosaco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arosa is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arosa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Arosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Sarriana - Arosa	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Arosa - Granada	0:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Arosa - Betanzos	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Silva SD - Arosa	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Arosa - Estradense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTT
- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Paiosaco - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Paiosaco - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Betanzos - Paiosaco	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Paiosaco - Atlético Arteixo	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Silva SD - Paiosaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Paiosaco - Arosa	0:1
17.09.22	Arosa - Paiosaco	1:0
13.10.19	Paiosaco - Arosa	0:4

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