Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Paiosaco		RC Villalbes

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	1.77
	3.75	3.4	1.7
	4	3.2	1.76
	4.29	3.05	1.69
	4.75	3.2	1.7
	4.6	3.42	1.7
	4.5	3.25	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.75)	3.25 ↓ (3.73)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paiosaco
20.9%

Draw
27.4%

RC Villalbes
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23.8%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

22.8%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paiosaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RC Villalbes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RC Villalbes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paiosaco - RC Villalbes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Paiosaco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villalbes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paiosaco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villalbes is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paiosaco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Paiosaco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.12.22	Somozas - Paiosaco	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Choco - Paiosaco	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	Silva SD - Paiosaco	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Paiosaco - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LTWTT
- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.12.22	RC Villalbes - Barco	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Alondras - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Somozas - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	RC Villalbes - UD Ourense	5:1 ✺
06.11.22	Choco - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.12.20	Paiosaco - RC Villalbes	2:2
22.09.19	Paiosaco - RC Villalbes	3:1
28.04.19	RC Villalbes - Paiosaco	3:2
02.12.18	Paiosaco - RC Villalbes	1:0

Paiosaco - RC Villalbes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide