The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Somozas 32.3%
Draw 35.3%
RC Villalbes 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
33.5%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
34.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Somozas - RC Villalbes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Villalbes has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Racing Club Villalbes
5
2
3
0
7:5
2
9
13
Somozas
5
1
2
2
3:4
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Somozas - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.