Match Info

K3 League - Round 23

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju)


	Paju Frontier		Gyeongju KH&NP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.6	3.05	1.95	Watch
	4.27	3.3	1.9
	3.8	3.1	1.95
	3	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.05)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
24.9%

Draw
28.8%

Gyeongju KH&NP
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-3%)

Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 0.

Paju Citizen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gyeongju KH&NP is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gyeongju KH&NP could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
31.08.25	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWT
- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
31.08.25	Siheung - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Gimhae - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Busan Kyotong - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
11.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	4:1
South Korean K3 League
29.06.24	Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1
02.03.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:0
27.08.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1
29.04.23	Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP	4:0
25.09.22	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	2:1

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