Match Info

K3 League - Round 19

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)


	Ulsan Citizen		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.15	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.67	3.29	2.04
	4.10	3.23	1.94	Watch
	3	2.88	2.3
	3.52	3.13	2.02
	2.6	3.22	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.45)	3.11 ↓ (3.33)	2.14 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
27.9%

Draw
29.4%

Paju Frontier
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan Citizen's form might have worsened.

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paju Frontier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paju Frontier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ulsan Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Paju Frontier will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Paju Frontier (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Paju Frontier (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
20.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Gimhae - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:4 ✺
15.06.25	Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLLL
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
19.07.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Paju Frontier - Yangpyeong	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Paju Frontier - Pocheon	0:4 ✺
29.06.25	Paju Frontier - Siheung	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
05.04.25	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
05.10.24	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	2:0
08.06.24	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	1:2
12.08.23	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:0
16.04.23	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	2:0
09.07.22	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	0:2
26.03.22	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	1:3

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