Match Info

K3 League - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju)


	Paju Frontier		Daejeon Korail

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.15	3.05	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.21
	3.05	3.20	2.33	Watch
	3.21	3.15	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.42)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
28.8%

Draw
29.2%

Daejeon Korail
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

29.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.8%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Daejeon Korail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 1.

Paju Citizen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Daejeon Korail has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Daejeon Korail has had a series of away games.

Daejeon Korail might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
25.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Paju Frontier - Yangpyeong	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Paju Frontier - Pocheon	0:4 ✺
29.06.25	Paju Frontier - Siheung	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL
- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
25.07.25	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	4:3 ✺
20.07.25	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Daejeon Korail	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
20.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	2:0
17.08.24	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	0:0
19.04.24	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	0:0
15.09.23	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	1:0
20.05.23	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	1:0
01.10.22	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	2:1
27.05.22	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	1:1

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