Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Triller TV+
China	iQIYI, Migu
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 3, Sooka
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic


	Pakhtakor		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.45	3.5	2.11
	3.4	3.46	2.07	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.49	3.5	2.09	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
27.6%

Draw
27%

Al Wasl
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.8%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Al Wasl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Pakhtakor - Al Wasl Predictions

Users Predictions: Al Wasl will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 3. Azmiddinov S. 7. Alizhonov K. 44. Mahamadjonov M. 4. Abdullaev A. 17. Khamdamov D. 8. Kholmatov D. 10. Ceran D. (C) 23. Buriev A. 33. Abdumannopov D. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S.	1. Al Senani K. (G) 4. Bouftini S. 31. Gimenez N. 12. Saleh A. 6. Sidibe S. 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 7. Saleh A. (C) 17. Caio Canedo 9. Diallo A. 25. Perez A. 19. Uchino T.
Substitutes
55. Abdumazhidov M. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 2. Askarov B. 99. Hoshimov U. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 5. Khamraliev M. 11. Kholdorkhonov P. 40. Merk K. 15. Ortikboev D. 35. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 77. Saitov D. 31. Usmonov M.	32. Ali M. (G) 3. Al Mheiri Y. 23. Al Zaabi T. 44. Awad S. 18. Janeer M. 33. Mijailovic S. 21. N'Guessan J. 55. Salem A. (G) 5. Salmeen A. 8. Seferovic H. 11. Suroor M.
Coaches
Shatskikh M.	Milojevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ceran D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Caio Canedo 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Bouftini S. ⚽, Gimenez N. (A),
70', Caio Canedo ↓, Seferovic H. ↑,
72', Khamdamov D. ↓, Adkhamzoda U. ↑,
72', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
81', Uchino T. ↓, Awad S. ↑,
81', Saleh A. ↓, Salmeen A. ↑,
83', Ibrokhimov I. 🟨,
85', Abdumannopov D. ↓, Usmonov M. ↑,
90+7', Usmonov M. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pakhtakor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pakhtakor have a series of home games.

Recently Al Wasl have a series of guest games.

Al Wasl will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
13.09.24	Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
Uzbek Cup
30.08.24	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
26.08.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
22.08.24	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Pakhtakor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
29.08.24	Al Wasl - Dibba Al-Hisn	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Ittihad Kalba - Al Wasl	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Umm-Salal - Al Wasl	0:3 ✺
28.07.24	Al-Rayyan - Al Wasl	3:2 ✺
18.07.24	Ajax - Al Wasl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWLL

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