The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pakhtakor 38.4%
Draw 27.5%
Neftchi Fargona 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
25.1%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
24.4%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 34. Nasrullaev S. 4. Tahseen Z. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 8. Saitov D. 23. Buriev A. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 21. Resan B. 50. Flamarion 17. Khamdamov D. 90. Chinedu S.
1. Ergashev B. (G) 34. Sayfiev F. 4. Ciger B. 20. Gofurov A. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 8. Jovovic V. 5. Alibaev I. 52. Kouao K. 10. Iskanderov J. 15. Abduganiyev N. 32. Marusic Z.
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 7. Alizhonov K. 77. Bozorov O. 44. Ermanov D. 29. Hussein A. 22. Karimov M. 35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 6. Mirkobilov S. 33. Saydaliev K.
9. Giyosov K. 7. Ismoilov A. 11. Jumaev A. 22. Odilov A. 18. Perica S. 77. Ratinho 71. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.
Ismoilov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Khamdamov D. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Marusic Z. ↓, Perica S. ↑,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Abduganiyev N. ↓, Ismoilov A. ↑,
46', Ubaydullaev M. ↓, Odilov A. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Perica S. ⚽, Odilov A. (A),
66', 1 - 2, Kouao K. ⚽, Alibaev I. (A),
70', Kouao K. ↓, Yuldoshev I. ↑,
70', Jovovic V. ↓, Ratinho ↑,
72', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
76', Khamdamov D. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
76', Resan B. ↓, Alizhonov K. ↑,
79', Tahseen Z. ↓, Abdullaev D. ↑,
80', Alibaev I. 🟨,
83', Saitov D. ↓, Hussein A. ↑,
89', Abdullaev D. 🟥,
90', 1 - 3, Iskanderov J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 and 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 3.
Pakhtakor is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Neftchi Fargona have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Neftchi Fargona may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pakhtakor holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pakhtakor has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:16 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pakhtakor against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
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Nazarov V. (G) 
Tahseen Z. 
Flamarion 
Chinedu S. 
Ciger B. 
Jovovic V. 
Kouao K. 
Perica S. 
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