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Current Win Probability
Pakhtakor 71.4%
Draw 18.7%
Kokand 1912 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
21.4%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.5%
20.7%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakhtakor's performance.
Kokand 1912 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kokand 1912 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakhtakor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kokand 1912 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pakhtakor - Kokand 1912 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 4. Abdullaev A. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 77. Saitov D. 30. Jurakuziev O. 8. Kholmatov D. 23. Buriev A. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 50. Flamarion 11. Sergeev I.
13. Isokov A. (G) 19. Akramov S. 8. Kosimov B. 20. Malikdzhonov I. 15. Khakimov Z. 22. Khasanov M. 18. Abdurakhimov B. 7. Gvazava S. 5. Yakubov J. 9. Khusanov J. 14. Kholturaev J.
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 17. Khamdamov D. 5. Khamraliev M. 99. Khoshimov U. 15. Ortikboev D. 94. Riascos B. 1. Shevchenko N. (G)
11. Beshimov S. 10. Gofurov K. 17. Khayrullaev A. 69. Kondratyuk Y. 2. Mirodilov M. 33. Mukhtorov A. 30. Mukhtorov I. 1. Nartadzhiev R. (G) 6. Salimov A.
Coaches
Moreira P.
Khaydarov B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Kholmatov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
86', 🟥,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Riascos B. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 3.
Pakhtakor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kokand 1912 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Pakhtakor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kokand 1912 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Pakhtakor is the obvious favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:19. (average 2.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.9:0.7).
Watch
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Nazarov V. (G) 
Flamarion 
Gvazava S. 
Riascos B. 
Kondratyuk Y. 
Moreira P. 
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