Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: Super League - Round 20

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV


	Pakhtakor		Olympic Tashkent

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.41	4.1	6.6
	1.47	4.13	7.07
	1.45	4.07	6.48
	1.43	4.39	7.1
	1.41	4.1	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.15 ↑ (3.83)	6.64 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
64%

Draw
22.1%

Olympic Tashkent
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

16.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Olympic Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakhtakor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic Tashkent than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympic Tashkent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pakhtakor - Olympic Tashkent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 4. Abdullaev A. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 7. Alizhonov K. 23. Buriev A. 10. Ceran D. 99. Hoshimov U. 17. Khamdamov D. 5. Khamraliev M. 11. Kholdorkhonov P. 8. Kholmatov D.	1. Yuldashev S. (G) 8. Abdikhalikov N. 18. Abdirasulov A. 5. Alokhodzhaev M. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 16. Islamov R. 9. Oktamov A. 64. Qodirov S. 29. Sharipov U. 17. Sodikov J. 22. Toirov S.
Substitutes
33. Abdumannopov D. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 3. Azmiddinov S. 30. Jurakuziev O. 40. Merk K. 15. Ortikboev D. 77. Saitov D. 1. Shevchenko N. (G) 31. Usmonov M.	77. Abdullazhonov S. 2. Abdurazokov M. 11. Alijonov A. 19. Anvarov A. 15. Bozorov M. 44. Komilov S. 99. Nemanov E. (G) 7. Tulegenov T.
Coaches
Shatskikh M.	Korostichenko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Adkhamzoda U. ⚽, Ceran D. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Ceran D. ⚽, Kholdorkhonov P. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Hoshimov U. ⚽, Kholmatov D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Islamov R. ↓, Alijonov A. ↑,
46', Sodikov J. ↓, Abdullazhonov S. ↑,
46', Qodirov S. ↓, Bozorov M. ↑,
46', 4 - 0, Khamraliev M. ⚽, Khamdamov D. (A),
52', Oktamov A. 🟨,
67', Oktamov A. ↓, Tulegenov T. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Abdirasulov A. (Own goal),
67', Abdullaev A. ↓, Abdumazhidov M. ↑,
67', Kholdorkhonov P. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
79', Khamdamov D. ↓, Abdumannopov D. ↑,
79', Ceran D. ↓, Usmonov M. ↑,
79', Buriev A. ↓, Ortikboev D. ↑,
81', Abdirasulov A. ↓, Abdurazokov M. ↑,
83', 6 - 0, Usmonov M. ⚽, Hoshimov U. (A),
85', Toirov S. 🟨,
90+4', Khamraliev M. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
21.09.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Pakhtakor	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Pakhtakor - Al Wasl	0:1 ✺
Uzbek League
13.09.24	Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
Uzbek Cup
30.08.24	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
26.08.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW
- Olympic Tashkent
Uzbek League
21.09.24	Olympic Tashkent - Dinamo Samarqand	0:3 ✺
16.09.24	Olympic Tashkent - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Neftchi Fargona - Olympic Tashkent	3:0 ✺
20.08.24	Olympic Tashkent - Nasaf Qarshi	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Olympic Tashkent - Sogdiana Jizzakh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
11.05.24	Olympic Tashkent - Pakhtakor	1:2
28.07.23	Olympic Tashkent - Pakhtakor	0:2
03.03.23	Pakhtakor - Olympic Tashkent	2:3
17.08.22	Pakhtakor - Olympic Tashkent	1:1
16.03.22	Olympic Tashkent - Pakhtakor	1:1

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