Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Palencia CA		Real Oviedo B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	2.12	2.8	3.75
	1.99	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.01	4.27
	1.88	3.18	4.05
	2	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.52)	3.04 ↑ (2.59)	3.81 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
46.2%

Draw
30%

Real Oviedo B
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

34.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

33.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palencia CA's performance.

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Oviedo B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palencia CA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oviedo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palencia CA - Real Oviedo B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palencia CA will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palencia CA: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 12).

Recent matches Palencia CA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oviedo B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palencia CA will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.10.22	Real Avilés - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Palencia CA - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Palencia CA - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Coruxo - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWT
- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.10.22	Real Oviedo B - Langreo	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B	4:2 ✺
01.10.22	Real Oviedo B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Arenteiro - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Real Oviedo B - Burgos Promesas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLW

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