The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras U20 53.4%
Draw 26.8%
Cruzeiro U20 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
20.5%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
18.7%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras U20's form might have worsened.
Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-3%)
Palmeiras U20 - Cruzeiro U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aranha (G) 6. Andre Lucas 4. Diogo Antonio 10. Erick Bele 8. Fabio 2. Gilberto Junior (C) 9. Heittor 5. Rafael Coutinho 7. Ramon 3. Robson 11. Sorriso
1. Otavio Costa (G) 3. Bruno Alves (C) 7. Cauan Baptistella 5. Eduardo Pape 2. Felipy L. 4. Kaiquy 11. Kenji 9. Lelis R. 8. Murilo Rhikman 10. Rhuan Gabriel 6. William
Substitutes
21. Arthur L. 13. Benedetti 23. Davi Goes 15. Joao Paulo 25. Juan Francisco 20. Kaua Lira 14. Lima K. (G) 18. Luis Felipe 16. Luis Saboia 17. Marcio Vitor 12. Rodrigo Matias 19. Thalys
18. Alessandro 19. Andre 21. Cervi J. 14. Coutinho K. 20. Felipe Morais 16. Gustavo 15. Lucas Belluco 12. Marcelo Eraclito (G) 17. Pablo Santos
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lelis R. ⚽,
14', Cauan Baptistella 🟨,
17', Robson 🟨,
32', Otavio Costa 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Gilberto Junior ⚽,
45+2', Diogo Antonio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sorriso ↓, Thalys ↑,
46', Diogo Antonio ↓, Benedetti ↑,
55', 🟨,
59', William 🟨,
66', Andre Lucas ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
66', Fabio ↓, Luis Saboia ↑,
72', Lelis R. ↓, Lucas Belluco ↑,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 3.
Palmeiras U20 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Cruzeiro U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Palmeiras U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Palmeiras U20 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Palmeiras U20 is considered a favorite.
We predict that Palmeiras U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.4:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 61.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Aranha (G) 
Cauan Baptistella 
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