The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 46.5%
Draw 27.4%
Santos U20 26.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.8%
25.4%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
25.9%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Phillipe Gabriel (G) 9. Andrey Fernandes 4. Breno Sales 7. Felipe L. 11. Gabriel Soares 5. Gustavo Guimaraes 10. Lukas Zuccarello 2. Melim L. 6. Riquelme Avellar 8. Samuel 3. Wanyson
1. Joao Lucio (G) 7. Davizinho 10. Fabri V. 4. Guilherme Henrique 6. Joao Alencar 11. Nadson 9. Pedro Assis 8. Pierry K. 5. Profeta N. 3. Rafael Gonzaga 2. Torrez M.
Substitutes
16. Alison 14. Amaral C. 17. Bernardo Manes 24. Davi 21. Falcao Y. 13. Leo Araujo 18. Leo Felix 12. Marcao (G) 23. Melo G. 19. Minete D. 20. Pedro Augusto 15. Renan
16. Assis G. 20. Benicio P. 14. Follmer G. 18. Garcia M. 19. Grando J. D. 21. Joao Vitor 23. Joaozinho 17. Kaio Ganga 15. Lucas Arruda 22. Murca P. 13. Pedro Hian 12. Traleski Pedro (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
29', Nadson 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Riquelme Avellar 🟨,
64', Gabriel Soares ↓, Leo Felix ↑,
64', Gustavo Guimaraes ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
69', Pedro Assis ↓, Kaio Ganga ↑,
69', Davizinho ↓, Grando J. D. ↑,
76', Samuel ↓, Alison ↑,
77', Felipe L. ↓, Bernardo Manes ↑,
88', Pierry K. ↓, Follmer G. ↑,
88', Andrey Fernandes ↓, Falcao Y. ↑,
88', Lukas Zuccarello ↓, Minete D. ↑,
90+3', Profeta N. ↓, Benicio P. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Breno Sales (Penalty Awarded),
1, Guilherme Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pedro Augusto (Penalty Awarded),
2, Grando J. D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Falcao Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rafael Gonzaga (Penalty Awarded),
4, Minete D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Benicio P. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Riquelme Avellar (Penalty Awarded),
5, Torrez M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-2.
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 4.
Vasco U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santos U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Vasco U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vasco U20 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 48.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Phillipe Gabriel (G) 
Profeta N. 
Torrez M. 
Joaozinho 
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