Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 23 May 2026, Saturday
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Pamplona |
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San Juan |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.98 |
3 |
3.5 |
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 |
2 |
3.05 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.09 |
3.57 |
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 |
3.90 |
3.58 |
1.83 |
 Watch |
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2 |
3 |
3.5 |
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 |
1.97 |
3.08 |
3.74 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.8) |
3.13 ↓
(3.28) |
3.27 ↓
(4.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pamplona
40.9% | Draw
30.2% | San Juan
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pamplona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pamplona's form might have worsened.San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Juan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamplona than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pamplona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Juan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Pamplona - San Juan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 2.Pamplona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, San Juan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Pamplona is the team to beat.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Pamplona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | AD San Juan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
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| 14 | Pamplona | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 | | | 16.05.26 | San Juan - Pamplona | 0:1 | | 28.02.26 | San Juan - Pamplona | 0:0 | | 18.10.25 | Pamplona - San Juan | 0:0 | | 01.02.25 | Pamplona - San Juan | 2:0 | | 06.02.21 | San Juan - Pamplona | 2:0 | | 12.01.19 | Pamplona - San Juan | 0:0 | | 25.08.18 | San Juan - Pamplona | 2:2 |
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