Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Cacereño		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.55
	2.92	2.86	2.64
	2.9	2.87	2.66	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.5
	2.78	2.8	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	2.8 ↓ (2.89)	2.58 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
32.1%

Draw
32.6%

Ponferradina
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

31.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Cacereño - Ponferradina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Quevedo A. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 21. Alonso J. 3. Barrio J. (C) 2. Martinez Munoz I. 10. Hyjek J. 6. Conesa N. 5. de Diego J. 24. Valdera R. 20. Palacin P. 9. Gomez D.	1. Prieto A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 3. Novoa G. 5. Undabarrena E. 19. Lopez A. 26. Kysil V. 16. Frimpong E. 14. Fernandez X. 17. Keita A. 18. Vazquez B. 10. Valle B. (C)
Substitutes
4. Crespo A. 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 12. Kaptoum W. 15. Monerris A. 1. Nieves D. (G) 18. Sanchis R. 25. Vazquez K.	25. Barredo P. (G) 7. Calderon C. 9. Cortes J. 22. Esquerdo V. 20. Ferrer P. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 12. Koke 4. Moltenis B. 11. Petkov S. 8. Slavy 15. Sousa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Kysil V. 🟨,
34', Frimpong E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kysil V. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
62', Valdera R. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
62', Palacin P. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
68', Fernandez X. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
68', Keita A. ↓, Slavy ↑,
71', Lopez A. ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
79', Barrio J. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
80', Frimpong E. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
89', Conesa N. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
90+2', Valle B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Cacereño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ponferradina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
5	Ponferradina	6	3	2	1	5:3	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.03.26	Ferrol - Cacereño	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cacereño - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Mérida AD - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cacereño - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Osasuna B - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWT
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.03.26	Ponferradina - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ponferradina - Cacereño	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Cacereño - Ponferradina	1:2

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