Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Panadería Pulido		Coria

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.3
	3	2.6	2.5
	3.4	2.55	2.37
	3.22	2.78	2.53
	2.94	3.04	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.27)	2.73 ↓ (2.99)	2.43 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panadería Pulido
29%

Draw
33.4%

Coria
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

30.3%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.8%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panadería Pulido that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panadería Pulido - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Panadería has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Coria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Panadería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Panadería Pulido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Cadiz CF B - Panadería Pulido	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Panadería Pulido - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Vélez - Panadería Pulido	4:0 ✺
26.09.21	Panadería Pulido - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Montijo - Panadería Pulido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Coria - Las Palmas B	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Coria - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Cacereño - Coria	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Coria - Córdoba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTTL

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