Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 31

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Panevėžys		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.55
	5.5	3.85	1.47
	6.3	4.31	1.51
	5.13	3.97	1.61	Watch
	6.1	4.2	1.48
	5.45	4.25	1.54	Watch
	5.4	3.9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (4.96)	4.03 ↑ (3.83)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
16.7%

Draw
22.8%

Kauno Žalgiris
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.5%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 32. Rasimavicius R. 15. Janusevskis J. 33. Keita S. 66. Balsys D. 77. Bizoza P. 6. Ramanauskas M. 7. Veliulis E. 27. Asamoah K. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 24. Petkevicius N.	55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 62. Kastrati L. II. 77. Lekiatas R. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 32. Baldassarra F. 20. Kalik A. 14. Slivka V. 15. Leo Ribeiro 7. Benchaib A. 19. Renan Oliveira
Substitutes
34. Asante I. 16. Bacanin M. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 11. Grajfoner L. 13. Kerkez S. 8. Kouadio S. 50. Krasniqi L. 4. Mzoughi R. 26. Simon J. 12. Valius L. (G) 5. van den Bos M.	24. Burba M. 11. Cernych F. 27. Debeljuh G. 17. Fiolic I. 8. Karashima Y. 33. Konatar M. 9. Krekovic L. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 70. Ourega F. 10. Sirgedas G. 3. Tolordava A.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Sopic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Krekovic L. ↑,
46', Veliulis E. ↓, Kouadio S. ↑,
55', Baldassarra F. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
55', Renan Oliveira ↓, Debeljuh G. ↑,
56', Keita S. 🟨,
59', Petkevicius N. ↓, Asante I. ↑,
69', Lekiatas R. 🟨,
74', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. ↓, Konatar M. ↑,
75', Asamoah K. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
75', Balsys D. ↓, Bopesu J. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Krekovic L. ⚽, Burba M. (A),
85', Burba M. ↓, Tolordava A. ↑,
90+1', Rasimavicius R. ↓, Kerkez S. ↑,
90+2', Kouadio S. 🟨,
90+2', Kalik A. 🟨,
90+4', Svedkauskas T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 0.

In recent matches, Panevėžys has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Panevėžys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Panevėžys has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
07.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	1:3 ✺
03.09.26	Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWLL
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	5:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
03.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0
10.05.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1
10.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	4:0
Lithuanian Super Cup
16.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	1:0
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
02.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:2
24.08.25	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:0
24.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0

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