Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 21

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Referee: Smitas R. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Panevėžys		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.80
	2.35	3.25	2.62
	2.54	3.56	2.68
	2.09	3.68	3.13	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.65
	2.37	3.57	2.73	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.36)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	2.75 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
39.7%

Draw
26.8%

Hegelmann Litauen
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 7. Veliulis E. 13. Kerkez S. 15. Janusevskis J. 66. Balsys D. 17. Kurtsev O. 34. Asante I. 6. Ramanauskas M. 8. Kouadio S. 27. Asamoah K. 28. Burdzilauskas E.	31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 26. Slendzoka D. 18. Sadauskas R. 30. Isaac B. 37. Radonja V. 45. Shchedryi A. 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 10. Oum Gouet S. 67. Kaulinis A. 11. Njoya A. 77. Wesley
Substitutes
21. Adah J. 16. Bacanin M. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 23. Dzinga E. 11. Grajfoner L. 25. Lukosevicius I. 79. Paulauskas V. 24. Petkevicius N. 12. Valius L. (G) 5. van den Bos M.	7. Duke C. 6. Harouna A. 21. Kausinis E. 9. Kazlauskas D. 19. Pasilys D. 1. Paukste L. (G) 16. Remeikis M. 22. Tibell D.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Aramburu Erneta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Veliulis E. ↓, van den Bos M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Ramanauskas M. 🟨,
58', Kurtsev O. ↓, Petkevicius N. ↑,
59', Kouadio S. ↓, Paulauskas V. ↑,
61', Kaulinis A. ↓, Duke C. ↑,
62', Oum Gouet S. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
62', Shchedryi A. ↓, Remeikis M. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Njoya A. ⚽, Radonja V. (A),
76', Burdzilauskas E. ↓, Adah J. ↑,
76', van den Bos M. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
85', Njoya A. ↓, Kazlauskas D. ↑,
88', Wesley 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Bacanin M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 1.

Recent form of Panevėžys has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hegelmann has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hegelmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32
8	Hegelmann	29	4	14	11	31:48	-17	26

Last Results with these Odds

Panevėžys - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 37.9%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
29.06.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Panevėžys - FA Šiauliai	3:2 ✺
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Panevėžys - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
28.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
29.05.26	Transinvest - Hegelmann Litauen	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	3:2
07.03.26	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	1:1
Lithuanian Cup
28.09.25	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
21.09.25	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1
17.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	3:1
10.05.25	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	3:0
09.03.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	2:1

Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide