Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Hajduk TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	TV3
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Žalgiris		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.30	1.95	Watch
	3.60	3.40	1.88
	3.70	3.60	1.91
	3.62	3.55	1.97
	3.72	3.55	1.95	Watch
	3.40	3.50	1.95
	3.48	3.65	2.04	Watch
	3.50	3.40	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.22)	3.49 ↓ (3.67)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
26.1%

Draw
26.5%

Hajduk Split
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.3%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	17.6%	52.9%

Žalgiris - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Hajduk will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Hajduk (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 18. Sesplaukis D. 4. Koy Lupano D. 15. Bosancic P. 21. Franke D. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 20. Lytvynenko I. 10. Golubickas P. 19. Bilenkyi S. 70. Teixeira B. 11. Petkovic N.	33. Silic T. (C) 22. Acapandie M. 15. Maresic D. 5. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 32. Hrgovic S. 21. Pukstas R. 4. Pajaziti A. 7. Sanyang A. 9. de Almeida D. 23. Soticek M. 11. Sego M.
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 6. Capan M. 9. Jarusevicius G. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 7. Mihajlovic N. 1. Olses C. (G) 14. Setkus M. 5. Turda G. 13. Upstas K. 27. Vareika M. 22. Verbickas O.	19. Brruti E. 20. del Moral A. 99. Fesyuk D. (G) 3. Gabric R. 26. Guram A. 38. Hodak L. 10. Livaja M. 17. Melnjak D. 14. Raci R. 8. Sigur N. 44. Stipica D. (G) 16. Sutalo A.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Garcia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Kendysh Y. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Sego M. (Penalty Awarded),
14', Sego M. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Bosancic P. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Petkovic N. ⚽, Bilenkyi S. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Sego M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↓, Raci R. ↑,
51', Pukstas R. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Pajaziti A. ⚽, Soticek M. (A),
65', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Capan M. ↑,
67', Sego M. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
67', Sanyang A. ↓, Sutalo A. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, de Almeida D. ⚽, Sutalo A. (A),
75', 1 - 5, Pukstas R. ⚽,
75', Petkovic N. ↓, Vareika M. ↑,
75', Golubickas P. ↓, Mihajlovic N. ↑,
77', Sesplaukis D. 🟨,
78', Pukstas R. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,
78', de Almeida D. ↓, Brruti E. ↑,
81', Bosancic P. ↓, Turda G. ↑,
81', Kendysh Y. ↓, Verbickas O. ↑,
86', 2 - 5, Capan M. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Žalgiris is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hajduk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hajduk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Hajduk Split: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Žalgiris - Dinamo Tbilisi	7:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.07.26	Žalgiris - Transinvest	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Žalgiris - Petrovac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
02.08.26	Varaždin - Hajduk Split	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Paphos - Hajduk Split	4:0 AET ✺
23.07.26	Hajduk Split - Paphos	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Žilina - Hajduk Split	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Hajduk Split - Žilina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW

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