Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 29

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas (Panevėžys)


	Panevėžys 2		Garliava

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.65
	2.23	3.6	2.7
	2.13	3.38	2.83
	2.2	3.6	2.82
	2.15	3.52	2.86
	2.23	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.92)	3.53 ↑ (3.37)	2.76 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
41.4%

Draw
25.7%

Garliava
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.8%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panevėžys 2's performance.

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garliava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panevėžys 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garliava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panevėžys 2 - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dzinga E. 9. Jusys A. 14. Kulbis R. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 4. Lukosevicius I. 3. Malatokas M. 5. Misiunas R. (C) 18. Puikis E. 2. Slikas A. 16. Sonkevicius K. 12. Usas L.	1. Matuskevicius D. (G) 21. Chang T. 9. Denilson 13. Dohemeto S. V. 19. Genevicius L. 3. Kontenis D. 8. Pablo Alves Pereira I. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 17. Rodriguez D. 23. Savenas P. 77. Sudakovas P.
Substitutes
31. Butkus A. 30. Dilys M.	25. Ambrazevicius I. 2. Antanaitis N. 14. Boguzas R. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 12. Dzekcioras K. (G) 26. Kraskovskyi K. 31. Kvedarauskas M. 27. Pedro R. 10. Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Sudakovas P. 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
26.10.24	Ekranas - Panevėžys 2	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:1 ✺
11.10.24	FA Šiauliai B - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:3 ✺
27.09.24	Panevėžys 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
26.10.24	Garliava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Garliava	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Garliava - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Riteriai - Garliava	5:1 ✺
28.09.24	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
14.06.24	Garliava - Panevėžys 2	1:2
20.10.23	Garliava - Panevėžys 2	1:0
04.06.23	Panevėžys 2 - Garliava	0:3
28.10.22	Garliava - Panevėžys 2	0:2
26.06.22	Panevėžys 2 - Garliava	5:2

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