Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 27

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai)


	Banga Gargždai 2		Garliava

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.4	1.4
	6.6	4.7	1.36
	5.89	4.29	1.39
	6.42	4.45	1.41	Watch
	6.36	4.5	1.39
	6.6	4.7	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.27 ↑ (6.03)	4.51 ↑ (4.43)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai 2
14.5%

Draw
20.1%

Garliava
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

20.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

20.3%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Banga Gargždai 2 - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 29. Griksas J. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 21. Pliuskys K. 81. Praleika S. 31. Ruskys L. 11. Smulkys E. 20. Toleikis K. (C)	1. Matuskevicius D. (G) 21. Chang T. 9. Denilson 19. Genevicius L. 3. Kontenis D. 8. Pablo Alves Pereira I. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 17. Rodriguez D. 23. Savenas P. 10. Soares R. 77. Sudakovas P.
Substitutes
35. Bertasius M. 42. Griksas M. 53. Juozapavicius J. 30. Jurgutis V. 36. Laurinaitis E. 27. Straksys A. 55. Urbonas N. (G) 95. Zvaigzdinas M.	28. Barila M. 18. Boguzas R. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 13. Dohemeto S. V. 12. Dzekcioras K. (G) 27. Pedro R. 14. Pranauskas T. 6. Serbenta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Banga 2 is Relegated to

Banga 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Garliava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garliava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Garliava is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Garliava to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Banga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Banga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
13.10.24	Ekranas - Banga Gargždai 2	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	FA Šiauliai B - Banga Gargždai 2	6:0 ✺
23.09.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Panevėžys 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
11.10.24	Garliava - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Riteriai - Garliava	5:1 ✺
28.09.24	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Nevėžis - Garliava	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
31.05.24	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2
14.10.22	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0
10.06.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Garliava	1:1

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