Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas (Garliava)


	Garliava		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.65
	2.33	3.55	2.55	Watch
	2.11	3.65	2.86
	2.11	3.76	2.87	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.7
	2.18	3.65	2.73
	2.33	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.72)	3.61 ↓ (3.78)	2.7 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
41.4%

Draw
25.1%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garliava's form might have worsened.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hegelmann Litauen 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garliava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hegelmann Litauen 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Garliava - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Garliava will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hegelmann 2 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matuskevicius D. (G) 21. Chang T. 9. Denilson 19. Genevicius L. 3. Kontenis D. 8. Pablo Alves Pereira I. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 17. Rodriguez D. 23. Savenas P. 10. Soares R. 77. Sudakovas P.	1. Urbonas E. (G) 4. Ajayi S. B. 27. Armalas A. 3. Badmus O. 80. Gedziunas S. (C) 25. Keliauskas K. 66. Kukta P. 19. Pasilys D. 60. Sendzikas M. 42. Sinkevicius R. 41. Yusuf R.
Substitutes
28. Barila M. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 13. Dohemeto S. V. 12. Dzekcioras K. (G) 25. Kraskovskyi K. 11. Kvietkauskas T. 27. Pedro R. 14. Pranauskas T. 6. Serbenta H.	23. Abramavicius M. 90. Janusa K. 70. Jonusas G. 37. Morkunas R. (G) 13. Olsauskas K. 87. Popiera T. 26. Sabaitis G. 40. Teresius K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Pasilys D. 🟨,
34', Kukta P. 🟨,
37', Sudakovas P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Soares R. ⚽,
54', Pablo Alves Pereira I. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Rakasius T. ⚽,
69', Olsauskas K. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
05.10.24	Riteriai - Garliava	5:1 ✺
28.09.24	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Nevėžis - Garliava	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Garliava - Minija Kretinga	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LTWLW
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
04.10.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Ekranas	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
23.09.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - FA Šiauliai B	4:0 ✺
16.09.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
26.05.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Garliava	1:1

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