The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paphos 44.7%
Draw 24.3%
Elfsborg 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
24.4%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
24.7%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.9%
12.9%
45.2%
Paphos - Elfsborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 27% โ 65.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ivusic I. (G) 77. Correia J. 5. Goldar D. 25. Name M. 2. Pileas K. 30. Dragomir V. 6. Pelagio P. 7. Bruno 22. Tankovic M. 11. Jaja 10. Jairo (C)
31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 16. Ouma T. 6. Baldursson A. F. 19. Kaib R. 10. Baidoo M. 17. Frick P. 9. Zeneli A.
Substitutes
55. Cikac A. (G) 34. Dall'Igna D. 80. Efzona C. 70. Ilia M. 81. Kolotas G. 93. Michail N. (G) 45. Rafael 27. Twumasi P. 24. Valakari O.
14. Abdullai J. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 23. Hult N. 24. Jebara C. 13. Larsson J. 18. Qasem A. 28. Soderberg N. 1. Uppenberg M. (G) 27. Zeneli B.
Coaches
Carcedo J.
Hiljemark O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Kaib R. 🟨,
15', Correia J. 🟥,
17', Ouma T. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Ouma T. ⚽, Kaib R. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Holmen S. (Own goal),
36', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
41', Henriksson G. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Dragomir V. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Ouma T. ↓, Hult N. ↑,
46', Kaib R. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Baidoo M. ⚽, Hult N. (A),
48', 2 - 3, Baldursson A. F. ⚽,
49', Jaja ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
56', Name M. 🟨,
57', Frick P. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
58', 2 - 4, Abdullai J. ⚽, Baidoo M. (A),
60', Tankovic M. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
60', Name M. ↓, Dall'Igna D. ↑,
62', Baidoo M. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
69', Hedlund S. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
76', Bruno ↓, Twumasi P. ↑,
85', 2 - 5, Zeneli A. ⚽, Hult N. (A),
Preview
2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium. 1st leg result: 0-3.
Paphos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Elfsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Elfsborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Paphos will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Paphos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.